Signal Above Noise

October 13, 2025 Instagram

Market Summary

Daily Overview

  • Indian equity indices ended the day on a negative note with both Nifty and Sensex closing lower due to global market volatility.
  • The prevailing sentiment among retail investors was cautious due to the global economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions.
  • The market was heavily influenced by global cues, particularly the U.S. tariff announcements affecting China.
  • Despite the negative close, the Nifty remains above important short-term moving averages, indicating a potential for future rallies.
  • The domestic market's performance was subdued, reflecting concerns over global economic stability and its impact on Indian equities.

Key Indices

NIFTY 50

25,227

-0.23%

SENSEX

82,364.15

-0.17%

Momentum Snapshot

IndexPrice1D1M1Y
Sensex82,364.15-0.17%0.71%0.48%
Nifty Midcap 10058,7620.11%0.92%-0.76%
Nifty Next 5068,570-0.17%0.55%-9.03%
Nifty 5025,227-0.23%0.45%1.05%
Nifty Smallcap 25017,063-0.29%-0.48%-6.31%

Sector Highlights

PSU Bank +0.24%

PSU Banks gained 0.24% driven by steady financial sector sentiment despite broader market weakness, with specific support from SBI's stable share price amid modest investor interest. No major negative regulatory or macro events impacted the sector today.

Media +0.11%

Media sector saw a slight increase (+0.11%) likely supported by stable advertising revenues and absence of sector-specific regulatory disruptions. No significant company-specific or policy news to push the sector down.

Bank +0.03%

The broader Bank sector edged up 0.03%, reflecting mixed reactions to flat to in-line earnings announcements from major banks like State Bank of India. Investor caution amid global macro uncertainties kept the gains subdued.

IT -0.78%

IT sector fell 0.78% as TCS reported in-line results, which failed to excite investors, coupled with global concerns over US-China tariff tensions that may impact IT export demand. Profit-taking also contributed to the sector's decline.

FMCG -0.90%

FMCG declined 0.90% amid profit booking after earlier festive season gains despite strong demand announcements from companies like PN Gadgil. The sector showed vulnerability to cautious consumer sentiment and lack of further positive triggers today.

Sector Scoreboard

Sector1D1W1Y3Y
PSU Bank +0.24% +1.48% +16.50% +157.51%
Media +0.11% -2.69% -24.37% -26.94%
Bank +0.03% +1.84% +9.86% +44.81%
IT -0.78% +4.89% -15.40% +27.05%
FMCG -0.90% -0.37% -11.42% +26.86%

Movers of the Day

Top Nifty Gainers

Adani Ports2.09% Adani Ports shares rose after investment bank Investec initiated coverage with a 'Buy' rating, citing strong organic growth potential from its integrated logistics network.
Bajaj Auto1.48% Bajaj Auto gained amid positive sector outlook, as analysts expect a broad-based recovery in the auto sector led by two-wheelers and strong festive season demand.
Bajaj Finance1.26% Bajaj Finance advanced as part of a broader positive trend in financial services stocks that are seeing selective buying interest.
Shriram Finance1.07% Shriram Finance saw gains as the financial sector showed resilience, attracting investors looking for value in a volatile market.
Interglobe Avi0.92% No significant updates available for this stock.

Top Nifty Losers

Tata Motors-2.68% Tata Motors was a top loser as its shares fell due to market jitters ahead of the planned demerger of its commercial and passenger vehicle businesses.
Infosys-1.56% Infosys declined as the Indian IT sector continues to face significant pressure from global headwinds, particularly the escalating US-China trade tensions which threaten global tech demand.
HUL-1.43% HUL fell as the broader market sentiment turned negative, with even defensive FMCG stocks failing to escape the sell-off triggered by global concerns.
Wipro-1.40% Wipro's stock dropped, reflecting the widespread weakness in the IT sector caused by fears of a global demand slowdown following the announcement of new US tariffs on China.
Max Healthcare-1.13% No significant updates available for this stock.
Stock Spotlight Of The Day
Delhivery
Market Cap
35,559 Cr
Current Price
₹475
Stock P/E
179
Dividend Yield
0.00%
ROCE
2.47%
ROE
1.52%
Shareholding Changes (Impact Factors)
FIIs
QoQ 0.96%
YoY -8.21%
Stable foreign holding
DIIs
QoQ -0.44%
YoY 7.57%
Stable domestic holding
Promoters
QoQ —
YoY —
Quarterly Summary (Absolute)
Sales
QoQ Slight growth 4.65%
YoY Mild rise 5.62%
Expenses
QoQ Slight uptick 3.91%
YoY Slight uptick 3.71%
Operating Profit
QoQ Healthy pickup 18.49%
YoY Strong profit 46.88%
Net Profit
QoQ Strong earnings 24.66%
YoY Profits soared 68.52%
Profit & Loss (Compounded)
Sales Growth
10 YearsNone%
5 Years26%
3 Years9%
TTM8%
Profit Growth
10 YearsNone%
5 Years20%
3 Years29%
TTM343%
Stock Price CAGR
10 YearsNone%
5 YearsNone%
3 Years-5%
1 Year15%
Return on Equity
10 YearsNone%
5 Years-8%
3 Years-4%
Last Year2%
Fundamentals Corner
The company is undergoing a significant profitability turnaround, with explosive recent profit growth driven by margin expansion, despite a clear slowdown in long-term sales.
However, the stock carries an extremely high valuation (P/E 179) that appears stretched against its very low Return on Equity, suggesting the market has already priced in future success and investors should be cautious.
News TidBits
  • Delhivery has received a bullish outlook from Motilal Oswal, which set a target price suggesting a 16% potential upside from its current levels.
  • The company's market position is being significantly strengthened by its strategic acquisition of Ecom Express for INR 14 billion, a move that enhances its rural coverage and network density.
  • Growth is being driven by strong festive-season demand and a broader consumption rebound linked to the Goods and Services Tax (GST) formalization.
  • Delhivery's focus on technology integration and network expansion is expected to create significant operating leverage and improve cost efficiencies.
  • Financially, the company's EBITDA margin is forecast to expand substantially from 4.1% to 7.3% by FY28, signaling a strong trajectory for improved profitability and cash flows.
Tip Icon

Stacks on Stacks: Tip Time 🤑

During earnings season, prioritize listening to management's forward-looking commentary over fixating on headline profit numbers to truly understand a company's recovery and growth trajectory.

Inside The Fund
Invesco India Contra Fund
Fund Size: ₹ 18980.54 Cr NAV: ₹ 160.59 (as on 10th October, 2025)
1 Year
-0.42%
Category: -0.26%
2 Year
23.20%
Category: 21.67%
3 Year
21.83%
Category: 22.42%
5 Year
23.39%
Category: 25.96%
10 Year
17.69%
Category: 17.37%
Stocks Added
StockSector1M Change
Delhivery Ltd.Logistics solution provider 0.14%
TVS Motor Company Ltd. - Preference Shares2/3 wheelers 0.02%
Top 10 Holdings
StockHolding %1M Change
HDFC Bank Ltd. 7.47% -0.32%
ICICI Bank Ltd. 6.68% -0.29%
Infosys Ltd. 4.70% -0.04%
Eternal Ltd. 3.87% 0.14%
Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. 3.61% 0.05%
Larsen & Toubro Ltd. 3.49% 0.24%
Axis Bank Ltd. 2.86% -0.02%
Apollo Hospitals Enterprises Ltd. 2.85% 0.08%
Coforge Ltd. 2.14% 0.00%
Bharti Airtel Ltd. - Partly Paid 2.00% 0.04%

The Common Ground

Shows the commonly added & removed stocks by mutual funds last month

Top Added Top Added (3)
TVS Motor Company Ltd. - Preference Shares2 funds
Edelweiss Mid Cap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth0.01%
Sundaram Mid Cap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth0.01%
Suven Pharmaceuticals Ltd.2 funds
Axis Midcap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth0.41%
SBI Midcap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth1.09%
HDB Financial Services Ltd.2 funds
Tata Mid Cap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth0.30%
Kotak Midcap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth1.01%
Top News Top News Developments
Headline US-China Trade Tensions Rattle Indian Markets
  • New US tariffs on Chinese goods have triggered a global risk-off sentiment, causing Indian benchmark indices like Sensex and Nifty to close with losses.
  • The direct impact is being felt by export-oriented sectors, particularly IT and auto stocks like Infosys and Tata Motors, which are facing pressure from anticipated global demand slowdowns.
  • This geopolitical tension is causing a flight to safety, with investors moving towards safe-haven assets like gold, which surged to record highs.
  • Retail investors should be cautious as heightened volatility is expected, with liquidity potentially shifting from cyclical stocks to more defensive sectors like FMCG and utilities.
Headline Delhivery Strengthens Logistics Grip with Major Acquisition
  • Delhivery's acquisition of Ecom Express for INR 14 billion is a strategic move to consolidate its leadership in the third-party logistics (3PL) industry.
  • The deal significantly expands Delhivery's reach into rural areas, improving its network density and service capabilities for the booming e-commerce sector.
  • A bullish report from Motilal Oswal highlights strong festive season demand and improving margins as key growth drivers for the stock.
  • This consolidation could put margin pressure on smaller competitors while benefiting e-commerce and retail companies that rely on efficient logistics.
Headline LG Electronics IPO Signals Major Boost for 'Make in India'
  • The upcoming blockbuster IPO of LG Electronics' Indian unit, valued at around $1.3 billion, represents a major vote of confidence and foreign direct investment in India's manufacturing capabilities.
  • The capital raised is earmarked for a new manufacturing plant, directly supporting the 'Make in India' initiative and potentially creating a positive ripple effect for ancillary industries.
  • This development could increase investor interest in the broader industrial and manufacturing sectors, as it underscores India's growing importance as a global supply chain hub.
  • For retail investors, the IPO's success could be a lead indicator for future growth in the electronics manufacturing and component supplier ecosystem.
Headline Cross-Currents Shape Market: FIIs Return Amid Global Caution
  • The market is witnessing conflicting signals, with FIIs turning net buyers after weeks of selling, providing a liquidity boost and suggesting renewed confidence at current valuations.
  • This inflow is being counteracted by weak global cues from trade tensions, which are keeping the overall market sentiment cautious and in a consolidation phase.
  • Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) remain the market's anchor, consistently buying and absorbing selling pressure from foreign funds.
  • This dynamic is leading to sector-specific opportunities, with analysts identifying long-term growth in areas like defence and green energy, even as broad indices remain flat.

FII / DII Snapshot

Yesterday

FII Net: ₹459.20 cr

DII Net: ₹1707.83 cr

September 2025

FII Net: ₹-35301.36 cr

DII Net: ₹65343.59 cr

Daily Flows
DateFII NetDII Net
10-Oct-2025 ₹459.20 cr ₹1707.83 cr
09-Oct-2025 ₹1308.16 cr ₹864.36 cr
08-Oct-2025 ₹81.28 cr ₹329.96 cr
07-Oct-2025 ₹1440.66 cr ₹452.57 cr
06-Oct-2025 ₹-313.77 cr ₹5036.39 cr
Monthly Flows
MonthFII NetDII Net
September 2025 ₹-35301.36 cr ₹65343.59 cr
August 2025 ₹-46902.92 cr ₹94828.55 cr
July 2025 ₹-47666.68 cr ₹60939.16 cr
June 2025 ₹7488.98 cr ₹72673.91 cr
May 2025 ₹11773.25 cr ₹67642.34 cr
April 2025 ₹2735.02 cr ₹28228.45 cr
• Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) have recently turned net buyers, injecting over ₹3,289 crore into the Indian market after a period of sustained selling, signaling a potential shift in sentiment driven by more attractive valuations.
• Despite the recent return of FIIs, their net activity for the past few months shows significant outflows, with over ₹35,301 crore pulled out in September alone.
• Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) continue to provide robust support to the market, acting as a crucial stabilizing force by consistently deploying capital, as evidenced by their net purchase of over ₹65,343 crore in September.

IPO Watchlist

Ongoing IPOs

  • Investor interest in ongoing IPOs is highly varied, with Rubicon Research T seeing overwhelming demand with a subscription of over 109 times, indicating very strong grey market expectations.
  • In contrast, Canara Robeco T's IPO has been well-received, achieving a subscription of 9.73 times, suggesting solid but more moderate investor appetite.
  • Canara HSBC Life's public issue is struggling to attract bids, showing a low subscription rate of only 0.27 times, reflecting weak demand for the offering.
Canara HSBC Life  
2517.50
Date: 10 Oct - 14 Oct List: 17 Oct
Subscription: 0.27x GMP: 0.00%
Canara Robeco T  
1326.13
Date: 9 Oct - 13 Oct List: 16 Oct
Subscription: 9.73x GMP: 2.82%
Rubicon Research T  
1377.50
Date: 9 Oct - 13 Oct List: 16 Oct
Subscription: 109.29x GMP: 22.47%

Upcoming IPOs

  • The upcoming IPO for LG Electronics' Indian unit is generating significant buzz, with its grey market premium suggesting a potential listing gain of over 30%, reflecting high anticipation for this major market entrant.
  • This blockbuster IPO, valued at approximately $1.3 billion, is poised to inject significant capital into India's manufacturing sector, particularly for expanding its home appliance production.
  • Investors should also keep an eye on the upcoming Midwest IPO, which is scheduled to open on October 15th, adding another option to the primary market.
Midwest 451.00
Date:15 Oct - 17 OctList:24 Oct
Subscription: - GMP: 0.00%
Tip Icon

Cha-Ching Cheatsheet 💵

When a stock crashes on negative news like a regulatory ban or an executive's arrest, resist the urge to either panic sell or blindly buy the dip; instead, use it as a trigger to re-evaluate the company's long-term fundamentals without emotion.

Global Markets

CountryIndex1D1Y3Y
🇩🇪 GermanyDAX0.29%25.49%96.77%
🇫🇷 FranceCAC0.10%4.59%34.81%
🇹🇭 ThailandSET Composite0.00%-12.36%-18.06%
🇬🇧 UKFTSE-0.10%14.10%37.48%
🇮🇳 IndiaGIFT NIFTY-0.13%0.2%48.36%
🇨🇳 ChinaShanghai Composite-0.19%17.79%30.78%
🇮🇩 IndonesiaJakarta Composite-0.37%9.99%17.63%
🇰🇷 South KoreaKOSPI-0.73%37.7%63.52%
🇸🇬 SingaporeStraits Times-0.85%22.44%41.27%
🇯🇵 JapanNikkei 225-1.02%22.11%82.11%
🇭🇰 Hong KongHang Seng-1.65%21.7%50.22%
🇺🇸 USAS&P 500-2.71%12.68%78.40%
  • The U.S. announced a significant increase in tariffs on Chinese goods, leading to a sharp decline in major U.S. indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.
  • President Trump's subsequent comments on not worrying about China slightly eased market tensions, influencing future trading.
  • Global markets, including Asian markets, showed mild gains after Trump's reassuring tweet, indicating a volatile but improving risk sentiment.
  • Cryptocurrency markets experienced significant volatility, with Bitcoin initially plummeting before recovering as investor sentiment shifted.
  • The ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China continued to impact global markets, with technology and semiconductor stocks being particularly affected.

Emerging Opportunities

E-commerce and logistics companies like Delhivery are seeing strong growth due to increased demand and strategic acquisitions.
Jewelry and retail sectors are showing promise with companies like PN Gadgil experiencing strong sales growth and expansion.
Potential opportunities in the semiconductor sector could arise as India seeks to strengthen its domestic manufacturing capabilities.
Investments in renewable energy could be attractive as India continues to focus on sustainable development.
Technology integration and digital payments could provide growth opportunities across various sectors as India advances in digitalization.

Policy & Regulations

  • The Supreme Court has permitted the Competition Commission of India (CCI) to proceed with its investigation into Asian Paints, signaling increased regulatory scrutiny over potential anti-competitive practices in the sector.
  • In a move highlighting regulatory action on corporate governance, Zenith Infotech and its promoters settled a 12-year-old SEBI case concerning disclosure lapses by paying a settlement of ₹3.56 crore.
  • The Ministry of External Affairs has barred BLS International from participating in future tenders for two years, a significant regulatory action that caused the company's stock to plunge.
  • The Enforcement Directorate (ED) is reportedly pursuing a settlement with Flipkart over alleged violations of the Foreign Exchange Management Act (FEMA), indicating ongoing regulatory oversight in the e-commerce space.

Crypto Buzz

NamePriceMarket Cap24h ChangeATH Change
Bitcoin (BTC) $114124 $2.27T 2.12%-9.13%
Ethereum (ETH) $4100.48 $494.94B 7.33%-16.55%
BNB (BNB) $1292.53 $180.10B 5.68%-5.20%
Tether (USDT) $1.001 $179.97B 0.03%-24.34%
XRP (XRP) $2.58 $154.34B 7.54%-28.97%
  • Major cryptocurrencies surged as investors sought alternative assets amidst rising global macroeconomic uncertainty and trade tensions.
  • Bitcoin reclaimed the significant $114,000 level, showing strong upward momentum with a 2.12% gain, while Ethereum posted an even more impressive rally of over 7.3%.
  • This price action reflects a potential flight to digital assets as a safe haven, similar to the surge seen in gold prices, as traditional markets react nervously to geopolitical developments.