Signal Above Noise

September 25, 2025 Instagram

Market Summary

Daily Overview

  • On 25 September 2025, the Indian stock market experienced a downturn with the BSE Sensex closing at 81,160, down 556 points, and the Nifty50 falling 166 points to 24,891, marking a decline of approximately 0.68% and 0.66% respectively.
  • Retail investor sentiment was cautious to negative, as the market faced a fifth consecutive day of bearish pressure, reflecting concerns over broader economic and geopolitical factors.
  • Broader market indices also slipped, with the Nifty MidCap index falling 0.64% and the Nifty SmallCap index down by 0.57%, indicating weakness across market capitalizations beyond large caps.
  • Sector-wise, realty remained the weakest, declining 1.65% for the second day running, while the auto sector also declined by 0.9%. Conversely, the metal sector was the sole gainer, edging up 0.22%.
  • Market activity was influenced by overall bearishness in the last hour of trading, fueled by negative global cues and cautious investor positioning, with no dominant positive news to uplift market sentiment on that day.

Key Indices

NIFTY 50

24,891

-0.66%

SENSEX

81,159.68

-0.64%

Momentum Snapshot

IndexPrice1D1M1Y
Sensex81,159.68-0.64%0.46%-5.45%
Nifty Midcap 10057,556-0.64%-0.25%-4.81%
Nifty 5024,891-0.66%-0.31%-4.28%
Nifty Smallcap 25017,049-0.66%-0.07%-7.94%
Nifty Next 5068,294-0.75%0.86%-10.75%

Sector Highlights

Metal +0.22%

The Metal sector gained 0.22% driven by rising silver prices, with Hindustan Zinc shares up 3%, supporting broader metal sector strength today.

Bank -0.26%

The Bank sector declined 0.26% amid broader market weakness and cautious investor sentiment, with major lenders like ICICI Bank and Kotak Bank slipping slightly.

Commodities -0.30%

The Commodities sector fell 0.30% reflecting pressure from mixed global cues and subdued demand outlook, despite some metal price strength.

IT -1.27%

The IT sector dropped 1.27% for the fifth consecutive day due to US visa restrictions impacting major Indian IT exporters like TCS, HCLTech, and Wipro, which declined up to 2.5%.

Realty -1.65%

The Realty sector was the biggest loser, down 1.65%, continuing a two-day decline driven by profit booking and negative sentiment amid subdued policy developments.

Sector Scoreboard

Sector1D1W1Y3Y
Metal +0.22% +1.38% +3.34% +66.91%
Bank -0.26% -0.67% +2.14% +39.38%
Commodities -0.30% +0.37% -5.86% +58.23%
IT -1.27% -3.99% -17.16% +31.60%
Realty -1.65% -3.10% -20.68% +103.92%

Movers of the Day

Top Nifty Gainers

Bharat Elec1.95% Bharat Electronics rose due to continued investor optimism on defense sector momentum, with the stock maintaining strong year-to-date performance above ₹400.
Hero Motocorp1.47% Hero Motocorp gained 1.47% as expectations for upcoming festive season sales bolstered sentiment in the automobile sector.
Axis Bank0.66% Axis Bank edged higher, benefiting from renewed investor confidence in financials amidst FII selling, supported by steady domestic liquidity.
Hindalco0.62% Hindalco registered modest gains as global aluminum prices stabilized, providing a relief rally after prior volatility in commodity markets.
ONGC0.48% ONGC rose slightly, reflecting optimism following declining crude oil prices which generally support lower input costs for downstream operations.

Top Nifty Losers

Trent-3.15% Trent fell 3.15% as retail sector sentiment weakened amidst macroeconomic concerns and continued risk-off behavior in midcap stocks.
Power Grid Corp-3.03% Power Grid Corp declined 3.03% following broader bearish sentiment in utilities and concerns over infrastructure funding pressures.
Tata Motors-2.73% Tata Motors dropped 2.73%, weighed down by operational challenges at Jaguar Land Rover due to its ongoing cybersecurity issues reported in the UK.
TCS-2.57% TCS fell 2.57% as concerns over H-1B visa policy uncertainty in the U.S. dampened investor sentiment towards IT heavyweights.
Asian Paints-2.17% Asian Paints slipped 2.17%, pressured by high input costs impacting profitability despite seasonal demand expectations.
Stock Spotlight Of The Day
Tata Motors
Market Cap
2,44,650 Cr
Current Price
₹664
Stock P/E
27.6
Dividend Yield
0.90%
ROCE
20.3%
ROE
17.9%
Shareholding Changes (Impact Factors)
FIIs
QoQ -0.67%
YoY -1.01%
Stable foreign holding
DIIs
QoQ 0.05%
YoY 1%
Stable domestic holding
Promoters
QoQ -0.01%
YoY -3.79%
Minor reduction
Quarterly Summary (Absolute)
Sales
QoQ Severe drop -21.59%
YoY Small dip -7%
Expenses
QoQ Sharp cut -21.75%
YoY Under control -8.2%
Operating Profit
QoQ Erosion -20.39%
YoY Slight improvement 2.47%
Net Profit
QoQ Profits soared 287.12%
YoY Profits soared 144.29%
Profit & Loss (Compounded)
Sales Growth
10 Years7%
5 Years10%
3 Years14%
TTM-8%
Profit Growth
10 Years13%
5 Years26%
3 Years77%
TTM28%
Stock Price CAGR
10 Years9%
5 Years39%
3 Years19%
1 Year-31%
Return on Equity
10 Years2%
5 Years9%
3 Years17%
Last Year18%
Fundamental's Corner
The stock displays robust long-term profit growth (10- and 5-year CAGR: 13% and 26% respectively) and continuously improving ROE (last year: 18%), but recent sales performance is weak with a TTM contraction of 8%.
While net profit has surged YoY by 144% due to margin improvements, a lack of sales growth raises concerns about sustainability; with a P/E of 27.6, retail investors should monitor recovery in sales metrics before considering this stock for growth.
News TidBits
  • Tata Motors faced a significant downturn today, declining 4% amidst cybersecurity issues at its Jaguar Land Rover business, which is expected to incur weekly losses of £50 million.
  • The cybersecurity attack has disrupted operational efficiency and raised financial stability concerns for its marquee subsidiary in the UK market.
  • Investor sentiment around Tata Motors remains cautious as these issues compound broader sectoral pressures caused by global and domestic factors.
  • Analysts anticipate increased volatility in Tata Motors due to near-term operational risks and potential cost escalations related to security measures.
  • Medium-term recovery prospects may rely heavily on the company's ability to mitigate these disruptions effectively and boost operational resilience.
Tip Icon

Stacks on Stacks: Tip Time 🤑

Momentum investing works best when coupled with robust risk management; focus not on chasing past winners but identifying trends early with clear exit strategies.

Inside The Fund
Quant Small Cap Fund
Fund Size: ₹ 28758.03 Cr NAV: ₹ 279.031 (as on 24th September, 2025)
1 Year
-8.78%
Category: -4.45%
2 Year
20.24%
Category: 19.78%
3 Year
24.87%
Category: 21.58%
5 Year
36.96%
Category: 30.83%
10 Year
20.36%
Category: 18.57%
Stocks Added
StockSector1M Change
Suven Life Sciences Ltd.Healthcare research, analytics & technology 0.35%
Stocks Removed
StockSector1M Change
Siemens Energy India Ltd.Power generation -0.79%
PG Electroplast Ltd.Consumer electronics -0.39%
Suven Life Sciences Ltd. - WarrantHealthcare research, analytics & technology -0.33%
Top 10 Holdings
StockHolding %1M Change
Reliance Industries Ltd. 9.23% 0.00%
Jio Financial Services Ltd. 6.56% -0.20%
RBL Bank Ltd. 3.44% 0.01%
Aegis Logistics Ltd. 3.08% -0.14%
Bikaji Foods International Ltd. 2.81% -0.05%
Anand Rathi Wealth Services Ltd. 2.50% 0.19%
Poly Medicure Ltd. 2.39% 0.22%
Adani Power Ltd. 2.36% 0.10%
Aster DM Healthcare Ltd. 2.27% 0.09%
Ventive Hospitality Ltd. 2.05% -0.16%

The Common Ground

Shows the commonly added & removed stocks by mutual funds last month

Top Added Top Added (4)
TVS Motor Company Ltd. - Preference Shares6 funds
Invesco India Flexi Cap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth0.03%
ICICI Prudential Flexicap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth0.12%
Canara Robeco Flexi Cap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth0.02%
Axis Flexi Cap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth0.02%
PGIM India Flexi Cap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth0.04%
HSBC Flexi Cap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth0.01%
One 97 Communications Ltd.2 funds
Motilal Oswal Flexi Cap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth1.10%
Canara Robeco Flexi Cap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth0.28%
Vikram Solar Ltd.2 funds
Kotak Flexi Cap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth0.01%
HSBC Flexi Cap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth0.62%
Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd.2 funds
UTI Flexi Cap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth0.69%
DSP Flexi Cap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth1.50%
Top Removed Top Removed (1)
Siemens Energy India Ltd.2 funds
ICICI Prudential Flexicap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth-0.10%
Quant Flexi Cap Fund - Direct Plan - Growth-1.03%
Top News Top News Developments
Headline Persistent Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) Outflows Amid Weak Global Cues
  • Global monetary tightening and geopolitical tensions are driving international investors to reduce exposure to emerging markets like India.
  • Rising India VIX reflects elevated market uncertainty, while DIIs attempt to offset selling pressures by FIIs through sustained buying activity.
  • Export-oriented sectors and large-cap stocks face mounting bearish sentiment due to the weight of foreign ownership amid macroeconomic headwinds.
Headline Concerns Over H-1B Visa Policy Impacting IT Sector Sentiment
  • Investor sentiment remains cautious as tighter US visa policies could impact workforce deployment for major IT firms like Infosys and TCS.
  • Reduced H-1B quotas may prompt Indian IT exporters to re-evaluate their cost structures and client delivery models in the medium term.
  • Market valuations of IT heavyweights could face temporary re-ratings until policy clarity emerges around global movement of tech professionals.
Headline Domestic Equity Market Weakness Extends to Fifth Consecutive Day
  • Sensex and Nifty posted their fifth day of declines, shedding ₹3 lakh crore in market capitalization in a bearish environment.
  • Risk-off sentiment spread across midcap and smallcap segments, reflecting broader investor caution toward high-growth equity categories.
  • Consumer discretionary and utilities sectors are underperforming amidst concerns over discretionary spending and infrastructure funding constraints.

FII / DII Snapshot

Yesterday

FII Net: ₹-2425.75 cr

DII Net: ₹1211.68 cr

August 2025

FII Net: ₹-46902.92 cr

DII Net: ₹94828.55 cr

Daily Flows
DateFII NetDII Net
24-Sep-2025 ₹-2425.75 cr ₹1211.68 cr
23-Sep-2025 ₹-3551.19 cr ₹2670.87 cr
22-Sep-2025 ₹-2910.09 cr ₹2582.63 cr
19-Sep-2025 ₹390.74 cr ₹2105.22 cr
18-Sep-2025 ₹366.69 cr ₹3326.56 cr
Monthly Flows
MonthFII NetDII Net
August 2025 ₹-46902.92 cr ₹94828.55 cr
July 2025 ₹-47666.68 cr ₹60939.16 cr
June 2025 ₹7488.98 cr ₹72673.91 cr
May 2025 ₹11773.25 cr ₹67642.34 cr
April 2025 ₹2735.02 cr ₹28228.45 cr
March 2025 ₹2014.18 cr ₹37585.68 cr
• Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have persistently sold Indian equities over the past few days, with net outflows amounting to ₹-2425.75 crore on September 24, 2025. This selling pressure is driven by global economic uncertainties, including weak U.S. market performance and geopolitical tensions, resulting in reduced risk appetite for emerging markets such as India. Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) partially countered the selling with a net inflow of ₹1211.68 crore, signaling localized confidence but insufficient to stabilize broader market trends.

IPO Watchlist

Ongoing IPOs

  • TruAlt Bioenergy's ₹839 crore IPO has opened to modest demand, highlighting investor interest in India's expanding ethanol production capacity.
  • Jinkushal Industries' IPO was fully subscribed on day one, underscoring strong retail demand for construction machinery exporters targeting global opportunities.
  • Epack Prefab Technologies' ₹504 crore IPO remains undersubscribed, reflecting cautious sentiment amid broader market volatility.
  • BMW Ventures attracted limited investor interest with its ₹231.66 crore IPO, raising concerns about listing performance amidst sectoral challenges.
  • Jain Resource Recycling saw 1.31x subscription on opening day as investors showed reasonable interest in niche recycling and waste management plays.
TruAlt Bioenergy  
839.28
Date: 25 Sept - 29 Sept List: 3 Oct
Subscription: 0.46x GMP: 15.12%
Jinkushal Industries  
116.15
Date: 25 Sept - 29 Sept List: 3 Oct
Subscription: 2.25x GMP: 17.36%
Epack Prefab Technologies  
504.00
Date: 24 Sept - 26 Sept List: 1 Oct
Subscription: 0.6x GMP: 7.35%
BMW Ventures  
231.66
Date: 24 Sept - 26 Sept List: 1 Oct
Subscription: 0.22x GMP: 8.08%
Jain Resource Recycling  
1250.00
Date: 24 Sept - 26 Sept List: 1 Oct
Subscription: 1.31x GMP: 7.33%

Upcoming IPOs

  • Advance Agrolife is set to launch its IPO from September 30 to October 3, with its market size attracting investors keen on agro-based innovations.
  • Om Freight Forwarders' IPO will open on September 29 with strong industry demand for logistics and supply chain growth visibility.
  • Fabtech Technologies plans to open its ₹230.35 crore IPO, reflecting optimism in the Indian tech services landscape.
  • Glottis is preparing for its debut IPO targeting listing from October 1, focusing on engineering expertise with robust market demand.
  • Pace Digitek has shown robust enthusiasm in grey market predictions ahead of its IPO closing on September 30.
Advance Agrolife 192.86
Date:30 Sept - 3 OctList:8 Oct
Subscription: - GMP: 0.00%
Om Freight Forwarders 122.31
Date:29 Sept - 3 OctList:8 Oct
Subscription: - GMP: 8.15%
Fabtech Technologies 230.35
Date:29 Sept - 1 OctList:7 Oct
Subscription: - GMP: 5.24%
Glottis 307.00
Date:29 Sept - 1 OctList:7 Oct
Subscription: - GMP: 0.00%
Pace Digitek 819.15
Date:26 Sept - 30 SeptList:6 Oct
Subscription: - GMP: 9.13%
Tip Icon

Cha-Ching Cheatsheet 💵

Patience can outperform speed; rather than timing the market, prioritize synchronizing investments with long-term life goals for compounding impact.

Global Markets

CountryIndex1D1Y3Y
🇹🇭 ThailandSET Composite0.76%-11.58%-17.98%
🇯🇵 JapanNikkei 2250.22%20.53%73.02%
🇨🇳 ChinaShanghai Composite-0.01%34.58%26.29%
🇰🇷 South KoreaKOSPI-0.03%33.34%58.35%
🇮🇳 IndiaGIFT NIFTY-0.12%-4.08%46.46%
🇭🇰 Hong KongHang Seng-0.17%39.33%48.27%
🇺🇸 USAS&P 500-0.28%16.00%79.73%
🇸🇬 SingaporeStraits Times-0.39%17.97%34.31%
🇬🇧 UKFTSE-0.45%11.37%31.20%
🇫🇷 FranceCAC-0.81%2.63%34.25%
🇩🇪 GermanyDAX-1.04%23.80%90.66%
🇮🇩 IndonesiaJakarta Composite-1.07%3.37%12.81%
  • US markets fell on 25 September 2025, contributing to a negative start and pressure on Asian markets including India.
  • Mixed performance was observed across Asian markets, further adding to cautious sentiment among Indian investors due to uncertainty in regional economic outlooks.
  • Ongoing concerns related to India-US trade talks and visa policies affected investor confidence, as these discussions impact future trade volumes and foreign investment flows.
  • Global macroeconomic factors such as interest rate trends and inflation persistence in major economies continued to influence risk appetite negatively worldwide.
  • Geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions remained areas of attention globally, indirectly impacting the Indian market through trade channels and investor risk perceptions.

Emerging Opportunities

Infrastructure and real estate sectors, despite current weakness, offer long-term growth potential fueled by pending policy reforms and government investments aimed at urban development.
Renewable energy and green technology companies are emerging beneficiaries of increasing government incentives and global ESG momentum, positioning them as promising medium- to long-term investments.
Technology and IT services companies remain attractive owing to digitization trends and continued demand for outsourcing amidst global economic reconfigurations.
Financial services firms, particularly those focusing on digital banking and microfinance, present growth opportunities linked to expanding retail credit penetration and demonetization of cash economies.
Selective metal and mining companies could be contrarian plays as global commodity demand fluctuates, supported by infrastructure spending and export potentials.

Crypto Buzz

NamePriceMarket Cap24h ChangeATH Change
Bitcoin (BTC) $111510 $2.22T -1.42%-10.16%
Ethereum (ETH) $4002.26 $482.81B -4.54%-19.08%
Tether (USDT) $1 $173.08B -0.00%-24.40%
XRP (XRP) $2.81 $168.06B -2.38%-22.87%
BNB (BNB) $984 $136.70B -3.51%-8.97%
  • Bitcoin fell 1.42% over the last 24 hours to $111,510, as investors await U.S. inflation data that could shape Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and influence crypto market sentiment.
  • Ethereum dropped 4.54% to $4,002.26, dipping below the $4,000 mark for the first time in weeks, reflecting weak market confidence amidst global economic uncertainties.